Arsenal’s exit from the Europa League leaves finishing in the top seven as their only route to Europe and not being able to beat West Brom could end that hope before they play again.
The Gunners’ largest margin of victory in the Premier League (PL) this season came in their 4-0 win at the Hawthorns, but inconsistency has been the theme, with their win at Newcastle in the last outing of the league that each of his previous 11 PLs represented. The games saw a different match result from the previous match.
Since that 4-0 success, Mikel Arteta’s team has picked up just three PL victories at home (W3, D3, L3) and has actually scored more points on their travels this season (22 vs 27). Throughout the campaign, Arsenal have conceded 14 of their 17 PL matches at the Emirates, notching a single victory “to nil”. Additionally, only four PL teams have a lower “home favorite” winning percentage than Arsenal’s 38.46% this season (V5, E3, V5).
Failure to win could relegate West Brom if other results go against him. Nonetheless, manager Sam Allardyce has overseen a noticeable improvement in results since his arrival (55% W / D vs. 36.14% W / D previously), but it seems too little too late. A total of 65 goals conceded in this PL campaign highlights his biggest flaw, though scoring more than 1.5 team goals in just seven PL games hasn’t helped either.
Subsequently, West Brom has conceded in 94.18% of PL’s away games, leaving two or more in 64.71%. The Baggies have also lagged HT ten times on the road, the league’s highest, and the opponent scored before halftime in 13 of their 17 trips, another league record.
Players to score: Arsenal’s top scorer, Alexandre Lacazette, has scored 13 goals at the PL, but only three have come at the Emirates. Similarly, West Brom’s Matheus Pereira has scored seven of his nine PL goals on the road.
Hot stat: Arsenal are winless in 14 PL games.
Prediction: Arsenal  vs  West Brom