Nine points from safety amid just one win in nine games, Fulham can only hope to keep its mathematical chances of survival alive. With a 2-0 loss to Chelsea in the last round, Fulham has only salvaged one point by losing at HT all season (D1, L9), and you’d think they really need a miracle to stay on top!
With just two wins, nine goals and ten points won all season, Fulham has the worst home record in England’s top five leagues at 0.59 points per game. Craven Cottage has been a travelers’ dream as Fulham is the only PL team to lose all of their home games when they host first.
A win in this game will guarantee Sean Dyche’s Burnley a fifth consecutive season of PL. However, losing four of their last five and being booked more than their opponent in five of their last six games indicates that the ‘Clarets’ need to improve their discipline and focus.
With a healthy 2.59 game goals per trip average for PL, Burnley has been entertaining on his travels this season, and his recent 0-4 win at Wolves was his biggest road win in the top flight since November 1965. Quickstarts are also common, as five of his last six road trips (G3, L3) saw a goal scored during the first 15 minutes, contributing to 12 goals in this time frame in away games this season.
A 1-1 draw in the reverse match halted a six-match stretch of H2H matches without a draw. During that time, markets of more than 0.5 goals in the first half and more than 2.5 goals in the match would have been claimed.
Players to Score: Winger Ademola Lookman has been involved in five of Fulham’s last six goals at Craven Cottage (W: 2, A: 3), while Burnley’s Chris Wood has scored 81.82% of his goals this season in the first half.
Hot stat: Burnley has averaged a mere 38.75% possession when he has won/tied away from home this PL season.
Prediction: Burnley  vs  Fulham