Burnley vs Leeds Premier League
Burnley requires two points from his remaining three games to avoid matching his lowest points count since returning to the Premier League (PL) in 2016. Beating Fulham on Monday secured his PL status, but only once this season have they. consecutively achieved PL wins.
Sean Dyche will be disappointed by PL’s eight-game streak at home without a win for his team, which included five draws, and both teams scored in six, especially as they scored first in each of the last two (L2). Subsequently, only Everton and Newcastle have collected fewer clean leaves at PL’s home (three) this season, representing a real fall from grace given last season they were second only to Man City in this department (eight).
Visiting Leeds United have been a tough team to beat in recent weeks, losing just one of their previous eight PL games (G4, D3). So confidence should be high, especially given their outstanding record against teams starting game week 13 or less (W10, L3). However, only one win in the last six H2Hs (D2, L3 – 90 minutes) shows that this may not be easy.
In Europe’s top five leagues, only Monaco shares a record with Leeds of not yet drawing an away game in the top flight (G8, G9). Including championship outings last season, they have not drawn away from home in 23 league games – this is less than a club record set in 1927! In addition, three of his last five road trips in PL ended in defeat “to zero” (W2).
Players to Score: Matěj Vydra has recorded 50% of his goal appearances at Burnley PL in his previous nine appearances (three goals, two assists). Leeds’ Patrick Bamford got the winner in the last H2H, scoring 15 goals and seven assists throughout PL’s campaign. Leeds have won the last seven games in which he scored.
Interesting stats: Leeds have conceded the most combined PL penalties this season (nine), but have also received the fewest (two), one less than Burnley.
Prediction: Burnley  vs  Leeds